Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.111638 0.124641 0.137948 0.152544 0.168068 0.184048 0.201704
2024-10-06 0.096275 0.114463 0.133767 0.155648 0.179635 0.205011 0.233764
2024-10-13 0.083531 0.105112 0.128766 0.156337 0.187321 0.220817 0.259521
2024-10-20 0.073016 0.096933 0.123939 0.156211 0.193268 0.234071 0.281981
2024-10-27 0.063722 0.089155 0.118707 0.154849 0.197169 0.244530 0.300925
2024-11-03 0.057366 0.084214 0.116223 0.156170 0.203732 0.257686 0.322675
2024-11-10 0.053167 0.081489 0.116029 0.159893 0.212855 0.273614 0.347492
2024-11-17 0.047710 0.076673 0.112872 0.159696 0.217059 0.283624 0.365331
2024-11-24 0.044604 0.074639 0.112959 0.163277 0.225646 0.298680 0.388997
2024-12-01 0.040817 0.071366 0.111211 0.164363 0.231041 0.309848 0.408034
2024-12-08 0.036851 0.067521 0.108459 0.163958 0.234432 0.318496 0.424005
2024-12-15 0.033777 0.064689 0.106847 0.164846 0.239297 0.328829 0.441931
2024-12-22 0.030129 0.060826 0.103757 0.163820 0.241868 0.336580 0.457077
2024-12-29 0.028215 0.059413 0.103915 0.166986 0.249704 0.350764 0.480017
2025-01-05 0.025692 0.056841 0.102297 0.167667 0.254288 0.360909 0.498064
2025-01-12 0.023159 0.054025 0.100163 0.167517 0.257703 0.369548 0.514253
2025-01-19 0.020514 0.050772 0.097204 0.166084 0.259333 0.375880 0.527566
2025-01-26 0.018841 0.049017 0.096341 0.167460 0.264587 0.386728 0.546434
2025-02-02 0.017920 0.048506 0.097293 0.171345 0.273150 0.401769 0.570531
2025-02-09 0.016118 0.046221 0.095416 0.171139 0.276204 0.409788 0.585901
2025-02-16 0.015332 0.045762 0.096322 0.174876 0.284537 0.424548 0.609708
2025-02-23 0.014056 0.044233 0.095461 0.176009 0.289322 0.434756 0.627836
2025-03-02 0.012580 0.042142 0.093590 0.175587 0.291936 0.442139 0.642405